BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Ball St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 85 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  151.95

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Neutral L   155.26  24  34   1A  32 (  8-  5) Indiana                 3.91    -13.91                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    W   144.71  57  29   1B  92 (  4-  8) Fordham                -6.64 *   34.64                      
  3 09/14/2019 Home    L   151.66  31  41   1A  38 ( 11-  3) Florida Atlantic        0.32    -10.32                      
  4 09/21/2019 Away    L   136.38  23  34   1A 105 (  4-  8) North Carolina St     -14.97      3.97                      
  5 10/05/2019 Away    W * 152.93  27  20   1A 115 (  5-  7) Northern Illinois       1.58      5.42                      
  6 10/12/2019 Away    W * 154.22  29  23   1A  99 (  6-  7) Eastern Michigan        2.87      3.13                      
  7 10/19/2019 Home    W * 177.92  52  14   1A 116 (  6-  6) Toledo                 26.57     11.43                      
  8 10/26/2019 Home    L * 137.57  21  34   1A  89 (  7-  6) Ohio U.               -13.78      0.78                      
  9 11/05/2019 Away    L * 152.09  31  35   1A  75 (  7-  6) Western Michigan        0.74     -4.74                      
 10 11/16/2019 Home    L * 145.91  44  45   1A  86 (  8-  6) Central Michigan       -5.44      4.44                      
 11 11/23/2019 Away    L * 147.47  38  41   1A  94 (  7-  6) Kent St                -3.88      0.88                      
 12 11/29/2019 Home    W * 160.07  41  27   1A  84 (  8-  6) Miami OH                8.72      5.28                      
      Averages             151.35  34.8 31.4

Best game:  177.92 = 38 point win over Toledo
Worst game: 136.38 = 11 point loss to North Carolina St
Team stdev:  10.92